Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceCF Pachuca or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca preview and prediction
The match
CF Pachuca travel to face FC Juarez in the Liga MX on Saturday 5 September (04:00 WAT). FC Juarez are 18th with 11 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while CF Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Juarez's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Toluca 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
CF Pachuca's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for FC Juarez and 2.1 for CF Pachuca. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Juarez 16%, draw 23%, CF Pachuca 62%.
Safer route: CF Pachuca or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: CF Pachuca to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Pachuca or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Juarez 1–2 CF Pachuca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Juarez16%fair 6.37 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.10
CF Pachuca62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.02FC Juarez xG
2.15CF Pachuca xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.0 – 2.1 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Pachuca to win✓
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
CF Pachuca or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
CF Pachuca ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
FC Juarez – last 6
LLLLWW
31 Aug
@ Toluca
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Club America
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Monterrey
1–6
L
12 Aug
@ Real Salt Lake
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CF Pachuca – last 6
DDLWLL
30 Aug
vs Guadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
24 Aug
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Puebla
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and CF Pachuca.
What is the prediction for FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is CF Pachuca or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Pachuca 62%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–2 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
