Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca to win ✓66% · @1.28
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.01
Toluca vs FC Juarez preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Toluca take on FC Juarez on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while FC Juarez sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Toluca's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Austin 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Juarez's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Club America 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Toluca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Toluca 3–1 FC Juarez.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Toluca and 1.0 for FC Juarez. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca 66%, draw 20%, FC Juarez 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Toluca 2–1 FC Juarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.90
FC Juarez14%fair 7.09 · @8.50
3.27Expected goals
2.29Toluca xG
0.98FC Juarez xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 1.0 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Toluca vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Toluca have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Juarez 14%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–1 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Toluca vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
