Value bet: Guadalajara Chivas to win @ 2.18 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✗50% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65
CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and prediction
The match
Guadalajara Chivas travel to Estadio Miguel Hidalgo in the Liga MX on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT) to face CF Pachuca. CF Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CF Pachuca's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Atletico San Luis 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Club Tijuana 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for CF Pachuca and 1.6 for Guadalajara Chivas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Guadalajara Chivas to win at 2.18 – 50% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CF Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Pachuca29%fair 3.45 · @3.05
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Guadalajara Chivas50%fair 1.98 · @2.18
2.74Expected goals
1.13CF Pachuca xG
1.61Guadalajara Chivas xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 1.1 – 1.6 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✗
50%
1.98
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
CF Pachuca – last 6
DLWLLL
24 Aug
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Puebla
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Leon
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
WWWLDD
23 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
5–2
W
17 Aug
@ Santos Laguna
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ Seattle Sounders
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs FC Dallas
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Puebla
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Pachuca and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guadalajara Chivas 50%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
