Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceU.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees U.N.A.M. - Pumas take on Necaxa on Monday 24 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Club Queretaro 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Necaxa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Leon 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Necaxa 0–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.1 for Necaxa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Necaxa21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
3.13Expected goals
1.98U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.15Necaxa xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2.0 – 1.1 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa?
Our pick is U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Necaxa 21%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
