Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Cruz Azul vs Atlas preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul host Atlas in the Liga MX on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banorte. Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Atlas sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cruz Azul's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Club Tijuana 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atlas's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Tigres UANL 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Cruz Azul 1–0 Atlas. Across their last 2 meetings Cruz Azul have won 2, Atlas 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Cruz Azul and 1.0 for Atlas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul 67%, draw 19%, Atlas 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruz Azul to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul67%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.60
Atlas14%fair 7.04 · @5.00
3.38Expected goals
2.37Cruz Azul xG
1.01Atlas xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.4 – 1.0 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlas 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Cruz Azul vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
