Leon travel to Estadio Victoria in the Liga MX on Tuesday 18 August (02:00 WAT) to face Necaxa. Necaxa are 17th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Leon sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Necaxa's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat New York City FC 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Leon's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Inter Miami 3–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Leon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Leon 0–0 Necaxa. Across their last 2 meetings Necaxa have won 0, Leon 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Necaxa and 1.4 for Leon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa 40%, draw 23%, Leon 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Necaxa 1–1 Leon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa40%fair 2.48 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.55
Leon37%fair 2.69 · @2.54
2.81Expected goals
1.44Necaxa xG
1.37Leon xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.4 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Necaxa vs Leon?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leon 37%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Leon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Leon?
Necaxa vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
