Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Atlante FC vs Toluca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Atlante FC take on Toluca on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banorte. Atlante FC are 16th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Toluca sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlante FC's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Minnesota United FC 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Toluca's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat FC Dallas 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Atlante FC 3–3 Toluca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Atlante FC and 2.2 for Toluca. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlante FC 14%, draw 20%, Toluca 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atlante FC 0–2 Toluca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlante FC14%fair 7.06 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.90
Toluca65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
3.17Expected goals
0.95Atlante FC xG
2.22Toluca xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 1.0 – 2.2 Toluca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toluca to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Toluca?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toluca 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Toluca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Toluca?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 0–2 Toluca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs Toluca?
Atlante FC vs Toluca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
