Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Club Tijuana vs Leon preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees Club Tijuana take on Leon on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Caliente. Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Leon sit 7th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club Tijuana's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Tigres UANL 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Leon's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Atlas 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Club Tijuana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Leon 0–3 Club Tijuana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.4 for Club Tijuana and 1.3 for Leon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Tijuana 65%, draw 13%, Leon 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Club Tijuana to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Club Tijuana 2–1 Leon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Tijuana65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw13%fair 7.59 · @3.75
Leon22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
3.74Expected goals
2.42Club Tijuana xG
1.32Leon xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 2.4 – 1.3 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Leon?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Leon 22%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Leon?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 2–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Leon?
Club Tijuana vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
