Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 56% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayern München to win ✓77% · @1.02
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.66
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München preview and prediction
The match
The DFB Pokal sees VfL Osnabrück take on Bayern München on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT).
Form guide
VfL Osnabrück's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat VfL Bochum 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Bayern München's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Bayern München arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.2 for VfL Osnabrück and 3.4 for Bayern München. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VfL Osnabrück 7%, draw 16%, Bayern München 77%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.35.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.35 – 56% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Bayern München. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Osnabrück7%fair 14.14 · @40.00
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @11.50
Bayern München77%fair 1.30 · @1.02
4.61Expected goals
1.20VfL Osnabrück xG
3.41Bayern München xG
56%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–47%
0–37%
0–26%
0–46%
From our goals model: VfL Osnabrück 1.2 – 3.4 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
77%
1.30
1.02
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.66
–
Form
VfL Osnabrück – last 6
WWLLLW
28 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Spelle-Venhaus
5–3
W
15 Aug
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Nordhorn
7–0
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
WWWWWW
28 Aug
vs VfB Stuttgart
5–1
W
22 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
2–1
W
18 Aug
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs RB Leipzig
3–1
W
7 Aug
vs Aston Villa
2–1
W
4 Aug
@ Jeju United FC
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Osnabrück and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?
On our numbers VfL Osnabrück have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bayern München 77%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München?
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern München (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
