Value bet: Jong Utrecht to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong Utrecht to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.30
Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Jong Utrecht take on Werder Bremen II on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Jong Utrecht's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Jong Ajax 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Werder Bremen II's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat SSV Jeddeloh 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Jong Utrecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 2.9 for Jong Utrecht and 1.8 for Werder Bremen II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Utrecht 60%, draw 19%, Werder Bremen II 21%.
Value angle: Jong Utrecht to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong Utrecht 2–1 Werder Bremen II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Utrecht60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Werder Bremen II21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
4.66Expected goals
2.89Jong Utrecht xG
1.77Werder Bremen II xG
62%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 2.9 – 1.8 Werder Bremen II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Utrecht to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Jong Utrecht ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Utrecht / FT Jong Utrecht✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.30
–
Form
Jong Utrecht – last 6
WDWLLW
24 Apr
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
13 Apr
vs Vitesse
0–3
L
6 Apr
@ FC OSS
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Dordrecht
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen II – last 6
WLDLLD
9 May
vs SSV Jeddeloh
4–0
W
2 May
@ Hannover 96 II
1–5
L
26 Apr
vs Hamburger SV II
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Bremer SV
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Kickers Emden
0–4
L
12 Apr
@ VfB Lübeck
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Utrecht and Werder Bremen II.
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Werder Bremen II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 2–1 Werder Bremen II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II?
Jong Utrecht vs Werder Bremen II (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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