Serie A · Italy · Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Torino
Lecce
Torino vs Lecce prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torino 2.0 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torino are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 14% for Lecce.
Torino have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Lecce have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded. Torino come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Torino, 0.9 for Lecce). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Torino to win at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torino to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Torino or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Torino ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torino / FT Torino ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.98 | – |
Form
Torino – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Frosinone | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Como | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Monza | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Parma | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bologna | 1–1 | D |
Lecce – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Genoa | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Frosinone | 1–5 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Juventus | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Udinese | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Bologna | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ AC Milan | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Lecce.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hub →Cagliari1
Frosinone0
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.44
✗
FT
Parma1
Bologna2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.28
✓
FT
AS Roma3
Sassuolo0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
72%@1.36
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Torino vs Lecce?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
On our numbers Torino have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lecce 14%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Lecce?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Torino vs Lecce?
Torino vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.