Serie A · Italy · Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma
Sassuolo
AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AS Roma 2.7 – 1.1 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AS Roma are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 11% for Sassuolo.
AS Roma have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Sassuolo have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded. AS Roma come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.7 for AS Roma, 1.1 for Sassuolo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AS Roma to win ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | AS Roma or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.91 |
| Half-time result | AS Roma ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.23 | – |
Form
AS Roma – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Manchester United | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Udinese | 5–2 | W |
| 27 Oct | vs Cagliari | 4–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Napoli | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Slovan Bratislava | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Genoa | 2–0 | W |
Sassuolo – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Fiorentina | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Lazio | 2–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Como | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Frosinone | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs AC Milan | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | @ Monza | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Sassuolo.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hub →Cagliari1
Frosinone0
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.44
✗
FT
Torino1
Lecce1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.28
✓
FT
Parma1
Bologna2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.28
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sassuolo 11%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.