Serie A · Italy · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma

WDLLL

1–2

Bologna

WWWLW

Parma vs Bologna prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBologna to win ✓63% · @1.80

Double chanceBologna or draw ✓83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.90

Win chances

Parma17%fair 5.78 · @4.50

Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60

Bologna63%fair 1.58 · @1.80

2.49Expected goals

0.74Parma xG

1.75Bologna xG

52%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%

0–213%

1–111%

1–29%

0–08%

0–37%

From our goals model: Parma 0.7 – 1.8 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Bologna travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 17% for Parma.

Parma have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bologna have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Bologna come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Parma, 1.8 for Bologna). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Bologna to win at 1.80 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bologna to win ✓	63%	1.58	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Bologna or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.28
Half-time result	Bologna ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bologna / FT Bologna ✗	38%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	14%	6.90	–

Form

Parma – last 6

WDLLLW

2 Nov	@ Atalanta	3–0	W
28 Oct	vs Udinese	0–0	D
24 Oct	@ Lazio	1–2	L
19 Oct	vs Torino	0–3	L
10 Oct	@ Inter	0–3	L
20 Sep	vs Genoa	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Bologna – last 6

WWWLWD

31 Oct	vs Monza	2–1	W
28 Oct	@ AC Milan	4–2	W
24 Oct	@ Cagliari	2–0	W
17 Oct	vs Inter	1–3	L
11 Oct	@ Lecce	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Torino	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Parma and Bologna.

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5

More Serie A predictions

League hub →

Cagliari1

Frosinone0 322147 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✗ FT

Torino1

Lecce1 622414 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓ FT

AS Roma3

Sassuolo0 711911 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Parma vs Bologna?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Parma vs Bologna?

On our numbers Parma have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bologna 63%.

How many goals will there be in Parma vs Bologna?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Parma vs Bologna?

Parma vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.