Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCagliari to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Monza vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Monza host Cagliari in the Serie A on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Brianteo. Monza are 18th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Cagliari sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Monza's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Lazio 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cagliari's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Juventus 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Monza and 1.4 for Cagliari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 34%, draw 25%, Cagliari 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Cagliari to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monza 1–1 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza34%fair 2.93 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Cagliari40%fair 2.47 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.31Monza xG
1.44Cagliari xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monza 1.3 – 1.4 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
40%
2.47
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Monza – last 6
LDWLDW
11 Oct
@ Lazio
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
DWWWLL
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Udinese
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Atalanta
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Lecce
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Inter
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Cagliari.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Monza have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cagliari 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Brianteo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
