Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtalanta to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Atalanta vs Venezia preview and prediction
The match
Atalanta host Venezia in the Serie A on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at New Balance Arena. Atalanta are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Venezia sit 19th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atalanta's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Juventus 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Venezia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lazio 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atalanta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Atalanta and 0.8 for Venezia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atalanta 67%, draw 19%, Venezia 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atalanta to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atalanta 2–0 Venezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atalanta67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.00
Venezia14%fair 7.07 · @5.80
2.90Expected goals
2.08Atalanta xG
0.82Venezia xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.1 – 0.8 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.39
–
Form
Atalanta – last 6
LLLWWW
20 Sep
@ Juventus
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Cagliari
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ AS Roma
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Venezia.
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venezia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–0 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
