Serie A · Italy · Stadio Ennio TardiniParma vs Genoa prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Parma 1.1 – 1.2 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Parma and Genoa on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Parma have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Genoa have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Parma, 1.2 for Genoa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Genoa to win ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Genoa / FT Genoa ✗ | 21% | 4.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.11 | – |
Form
Parma – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Como | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Monza | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Cremonese | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Juventus | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cagliari | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Catania | 2–0 | W |
Genoa – last 6
| 15 Sep | vs Sudtirol | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Frosinone | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Como | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Lazio | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Napoli | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Ascoli | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Genoa.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Parma vs Genoa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Parma vs Genoa?
On our numbers Parma have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Genoa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Parma vs Genoa?
Parma vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.