Sassuolo travel to U-Power Stadium in the Serie A on Friday 18 September (19:45 WAT) to face Monza. Monza are 18th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Sassuolo sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monza's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Lecce 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sassuolo's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Juventus 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sassuolo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for Monza and 2.1 for Sassuolo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 36%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monza 1–2 Sassuolo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Sassuolo41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
4.00Expected goals
1.92Monza xG
2.08Sassuolo xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Monza 1.9 – 2.1 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✗
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.17
–
Form
Monza – last 6
LDWLLW
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sassuolo – last 6
WDDWLW
13 Sep
vs Juventus
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Bologna
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Torino
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Cesena
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Sassuolo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Monza vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers Monza have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sassuolo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–2 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Sassuolo?
Monza vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at U-Power Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
