Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceComo or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Como vs Parma preview and prediction
The match
Como host Parma in the Serie A on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Como are 5th with 23 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Parma sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Como's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat RB Leipzig 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Parma's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Monza 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Como 1–0 Parma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Como and 0.6 for Parma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como 67%, draw 20%, Parma 13%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Como to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Como 1–0 Parma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como67%fair 1.49 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.80
Parma13%fair 7.55 · @13.00
2.50Expected goals
1.85Como xG
0.65Parma xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Como 1.9 – 0.6 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Como to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Como vs Parma?
On our numbers Como have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Parma 13%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Parma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Como 1–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Como vs Parma?
Como vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.