Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceComo or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Genoa vs Como preview and prediction
The match
Genoa host Como in the Serie A on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Como sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Genoa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Lazio 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Como's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Napoli 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 6. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Como arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Genoa 0–2 Como.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Genoa and 1.5 for Como. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Genoa 17%, draw 25%, Como 58%.
Safer route: Como or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Genoa 0–1 Como. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Genoa17%fair 6.03 · @4.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Como58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
2.18Expected goals
0.66Genoa xG
1.51Como xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Genoa 0.7 – 1.5 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs Como?
On our numbers Genoa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 58%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Como?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Como?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Como?
Genoa vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
