Value bet: Lecce to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVenezia to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Venezia vs Lecce preview and prediction
The match
Lecce travel to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in the Serie A on Sunday 23 August (17:30 WAT) to face Venezia. Venezia are 19th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Lecce sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Venezia's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Modena 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game.
Lecce's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Palermo 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venezia 39%, draw 26%, Lecce 35%.
Value angle: Lecce to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venezia39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Lecce35%fair 2.84 · @3.50
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Form
Venezia – last 6
WDLWWW
15 Aug
vs Modena
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
27 Jul
@ Galatasaray
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs Vis Pesaro
8–0
W
19 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
4–2
W
3.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
LWDLWW
17 Aug
@ Palermo
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs SS Monopoli
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Istra 1961
2–2
D
22 Jul
vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
0–1
L
24 May
vs Genoa
1–0
W
17 May
@ Sassuolo
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Lecce.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Venezia vs Lecce?
On our numbers Venezia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lecce 35%.
When is Venezia vs Lecce?
Venezia vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
