Primera A · Colombia
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.7 – 1.0 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Millonarios hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 29% for Alianza Valledupar.
Millonarios have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Alianza Valledupar have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 for Millonarios, 1.0 for Alianza Valledupar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.32.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Millonarios to win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios | 32% | 3.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 11% | 8.92 | – |
Form
Millonarios – last 6
| 9 Nov | @ Deportes Tolima | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Nov | vs America de Cali | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Once Caldas | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Jaguares | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Fortaleza FC | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Barranquilla | 1–1 | D |
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
| 9 Nov | vs Llaneros | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Nov | @ Independiente Medellin | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Once Caldas | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Internacional de Bogota | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Deportivo Pasto | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Águilas Doradas | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar.
More Primera A predictions
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
73%@1.30
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.20
Cucuta
Jaguares
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.26
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.35
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.35
Llaneros
Chico
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.30
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
X2America de Cali or draw
85%@1.20
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Alianza Valledupar 29%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.