Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Cincuentenario
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.4 – 1.2 Independiente Medellin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Águilas Doradas hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for Independiente Medellin.
Águilas Doradas have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Independiente Medellin have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Águilas Doradas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Águilas Doradas, 1.2 for Independiente Medellin). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Águilas Doradas to win | 43% | 2.30 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 10% | 9.65 | – |
Form
Águilas Doradas – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Once Caldas | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Nov | vs Fortaleza FC | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Cucuta | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Junior | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Deportes Tolima | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Bucaramanga | 1–1 | D |
Independiente Medellin – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Fortaleza FC | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Nov | vs Alianza Valledupar | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Internacional de Bogota | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Atletico Nacional | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Once Caldas | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ Atletico Nacional | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Independiente Medellin.
More Primera A predictions
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.20
Cucuta
Jaguares
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.26
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.35
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.35
Llaneros
Chico
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.30
Millonarios
Alianza Valledupar
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
X2America de Cali or draw
85%@1.20
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente Medellin 35%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin?
Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.