Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares

LWLLW
0–4
FT

Bucaramanga

DWLLD

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Bucaramanga to win @ 1.89 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBucaramanga to win ✓58% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.77

Win chances

Jaguares24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.60
Bucaramanga58%fair 1.74 · @1.89
2.72Expected goals
0.99Jaguares xG
1.74Bucaramanga xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.7 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Bucaramanga shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 24% for Jaguares.

Jaguares have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Bucaramanga have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.0 for Jaguares, 1.7 for Bucaramanga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Bucaramanga to win at 1.89 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBucaramanga to win ✓58%1.741.89 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.321.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga ✓34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.77–

Form

Jaguares – last 6

LWLLWL
30 Oct@ Deportivo Pereira0–1L
27 Octvs Llaneros1–0W
22 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
18 Oct@ Millonarios1–4L
11 Octvs Deportes Tolima3–2W
3 Oct@ Águilas Doradas0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bucaramanga – last 6

DWLLDD
3 Novvs Atletico Nacional1–1D
31 Octvs Deportivo Pasto2–1W
27 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
24 Oct@ Chico0–1L
18 Octvs America de Cali1–1D
14 Octvs Águilas Doradas1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Bucaramanga.

More Primera A predictions

FT Atletico Nacional4 Deportivo Pereira3 76159 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.61 ✗ FT America de Cali0 Deportivo Cali0 462331 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.34 ✗ FT Santa Fe5 Deportivo Pasto0 74196 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

On our numbers Jaguares have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bucaramanga 58%.

How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.