Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.61 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Nacional are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 9% for Deportivo Pereira.
Atletico Nacional have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Deportivo Pereira have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Atletico Nacional come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.3 for Atletico Nacional, 0.6 for Deportivo Pereira). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.61 is close to our fair price of 1.60. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.11 is our value angle (50% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Nacional to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | Atletico Nacional or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | 2.11 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.61 |
| Half-time result | Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.89 | – |
Form
Atletico Nacional – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Bucaramanga | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | vs Santa Fe | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Independiente Medellin | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Deportivo Pasto | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Cucuta | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Chico | 4–1 | W |
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Deportes Tolima | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Oct | vs Jaguares | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Once Caldas | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Chico | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Junior | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Deportivo Cali | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira.
More Primera A predictions
America de Cali0
Deportivo Cali0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.34
✗
FT
Santa Fe5
Deportivo Pasto0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.33
✓
FT
Jaguares0
Bucaramanga4
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Deportivo Pereira 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.