Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 3.90 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Millonarios vs America de Cali preview and prediction
The match
Millonarios host America de Cali in the Primera A on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Millonarios are 7th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while America de Cali sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Millonarios's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Once Caldas 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
America de Cali's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Fortaleza FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished America de Cali 3–1 Millonarios.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Millonarios and 1.1 for America de Cali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millonarios 46%, draw 22%, America de Cali 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: America de Cali to win at 3.90 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Millonarios 1–1 America de Cali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millonarios46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
America de Cali32%fair 3.11 · @3.90
2.49Expected goals
1.39Millonarios xG
1.10America de Cali xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.4 – 1.1 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Millonarios vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and America de Cali 32%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs America de Cali?
Millonarios vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
