Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Independiente Medellin to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Independiente Medellin host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Independiente Medellin are 6th with 29 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Independiente Medellin's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Internacional de Bogota 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Once Caldas 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Independiente Medellin and 0.8 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Independiente Medellin to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Medellin62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.90
Alianza Valledupar19%fair 5.14 · @6.00
2.57Expected goals
1.75Independiente Medellin xG
0.82Alianza Valledupar xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.8 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Independiente Medellin – last 6
LLLLWL
29 Oct
@ Internacional de Bogota
1–3
L
26 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Once Caldas
0–2
L
15 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
2–3
L
12 Oct
@ America de Cali
2–1
W
6 Oct
vs Santa Fe
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LWWDLW
29 Oct
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Deportivo Cali
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Jaguares
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Independiente Medellin to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Valledupar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
