Value bet: Internacional de Bogota to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✓39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.37
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Alianza Valledupar take on Internacional de Bogota on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 22:05 (WAT) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Alianza Valledupar are 16th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Internacional de Bogota sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Pasto 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Internacional de Bogota's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Fortaleza FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Internacional de Bogota 2–1 Alianza Valledupar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Alianza Valledupar and 1.3 for Internacional de Bogota. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Valledupar 39%, draw 25%, Internacional de Bogota 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Internacional de Bogota to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Internacional de Bogota. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Valledupar39%fair 2.56 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Internacional de Bogota35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
2.65Expected goals
1.36Alianza Valledupar xG
1.29Internacional de Bogota xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.4 – 1.3 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?
On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Internacional de Bogota 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Internacional de Bogota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
