Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Pasto to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportivo Pasto take on Alianza Valledupar on Tuesday 20 October, kicking off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Pasto's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Fortaleza FC 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Águilas Doradas 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.7 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Deportivo Pasto or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Pasto to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Alianza Valledupar14%fair 7.13 · @4.80
2.52Expected goals
1.81Deportivo Pasto xG
0.71Alianza Valledupar xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.8 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Deportivo Pasto to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Valledupar 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
