Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe host Bucaramanga in the Primera A on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Santa Fe are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Bucaramanga sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santa Fe's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Jaguares 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bucaramanga's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Chico 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Bucaramanga 1–2 Santa Fe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Santa Fe and 0.8 for Bucaramanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 61%, draw 21%, Bucaramanga 19%.
Safer route: Santa Fe or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Fe or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–0 Bucaramanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.25
Bucaramanga19%fair 5.34 · @3.70
2.51Expected goals
1.71Santa Fe xG
0.80Bucaramanga xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.7 – 0.8 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Santa Fe or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bucaramanga 19%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
