Value bet: Alianza Valledupar to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJaguares to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.88
Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Jaguares host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Jaguares's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Santa Fe 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Jaguares.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Jaguares and 1.2 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Alianza Valledupar to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Jaguares 1–1 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Alianza Valledupar34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.36Jaguares xG
1.24Alianza Valledupar xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.4 – 1.2 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza Valledupar 34%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar?
Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaragüay De Monteria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
