Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Nacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Nacional to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Atletico Nacional take on Millonarios on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Llaneros 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Millonarios's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Chico 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Millonarios 3–0 Atletico Nacional. Across their last 2 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 0, Millonarios 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Atletico Nacional and 0.8 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 66%, draw 19%, Millonarios 15%.
Safer route: Atletico Nacional or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Atletico Nacional to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–0 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.60
Millonarios15%fair 6.74 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.96Atletico Nacional xG
0.77Millonarios xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.0 – 0.8 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Millonarios 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–0 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
