Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportivo Pasto take on Once Caldas on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Once Caldas sit 8th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Pasto's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat America de Cali 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Once Caldas's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Deportes Tolima 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Once Caldas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Once Caldas 4–2 Deportivo Pasto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Pasto and 1.6 for Once Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Pasto 29%, draw 22%, Once Caldas 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Once Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto29%fair 3.43 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Once Caldas49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
2.70Expected goals
1.14Deportivo Pasto xG
1.56Once Caldas xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.1 – 1.6 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Once Caldas 49%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
