Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓63% · @1.39
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Jaguares 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 1–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for America de Cali and 0.7 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 63%, draw 20%, Alianza Valledupar 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali63%fair 1.58 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.20
Alianza Valledupar16%fair 6.15 · @9.25
2.45Expected goals
1.74America de Cali xG
0.71Alianza Valledupar xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.7 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
63%
1.58
1.39
Double chance
America de Cali or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
America de Cali ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
America de Cali – last 6
DWDWWW
29 Aug
@ Jaguares
2–2
D
27 Aug
vs Junior
4–2
W
23 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Once Caldas
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Chico
7–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLDLLD
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Bucaramanga
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alianza Valledupar 16%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
