Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 1.84 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗63% · @1.84
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Jaguares vs America de Cali preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Jaguares take on America de Cali on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 22:25 (WAT) at Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while America de Cali sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jaguares's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Chico 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
America de Cali's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Junior 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished America de Cali 3–0 Jaguares.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Jaguares and 1.8 for America de Cali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jaguares 13%, draw 24%, America de Cali 63%.
Safer route: America de Cali or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: America de Cali to win at 1.84 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was America de Cali or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jaguares 0–1 America de Cali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares13%fair 7.67 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.35
America de Cali63%fair 1.58 · @1.84
2.46Expected goals
0.68Jaguares xG
1.78America de Cali xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.7 – 1.8 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jaguares vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and America de Cali 63%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Jaguares vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:25 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
