Value bet: Fortaleza FC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✓43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.63
Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas preview and prediction
The match
Fortaleza FC host Once Caldas in the Primera A on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Fortaleza FC are 20th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Once Caldas sit 8th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza FC's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Chico 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Once Caldas's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Junior 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Once Caldas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Fortaleza FC and 1.4 for Once Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza FC 35%, draw 22%, Once Caldas 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Fortaleza FC to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fortaleza FC 1–1 Once Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza FC35%fair 2.87 · @3.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Once Caldas43%fair 2.31 · @2.22
2.54Expected goals
1.18Fortaleza FC xG
1.36Once Caldas xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 1.2 – 1.4 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✓
43%
2.31
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.63
–
Form
Fortaleza FC – last 6
DLWLDD
26 Aug
@ Chico
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Cucuta
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Llaneros
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
27 Jul
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Once Caldas – last 6
DDLDWW
24 Aug
@ Junior
1–1
D
10 Aug
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Santa Fe
2–2
D
30 Jul
@ Envigado
3–0
W
27 Jul
vs Cucuta
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza FC and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Once Caldas 43%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?
Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
