Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Pasto host Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Deportivo Pasto are 18th with 15 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Pereira sit 17th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Pasto's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Internacional de Bogota 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Pereira's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Alianza Valledupar 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Pereira arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Deportivo Pasto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.5 for Deportivo Pereira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Pasto to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.46, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportivo Pereira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pasto71%fair 1.41 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.90
Deportivo Pereira9%fair 11.31 · @7.90
2.51Expected goals
1.97Deportivo Pasto xG
0.54Deportivo Pereira xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 2.0 – 0.5 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Deportivo Pasto to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Pereira 9%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
