Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Llaneros to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillonarios to win ✓45% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Llaneros vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Llaneros take on Millonarios on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”. Llaneros are 11th with 24 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Llaneros's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Deportivo Pasto 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millonarios's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Águilas Doradas 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Llaneros arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Millonarios 1–0 Llaneros.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Llaneros and 1.3 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Llaneros to win at 3.80 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Llaneros 1–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llaneros32%fair 3.09 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.15
Millonarios45%fair 2.21 · @2.06
2.32Expected goals
1.03Llaneros xG
1.29Millonarios xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.0 – 1.3 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Llaneros vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millonarios 45%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Millonarios?
Llaneros vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
