Value bet: Deportes Tolima to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Llaneros take on Deportes Tolima on Tuesday 8 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bello Horizonte. Llaneros are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Deportes Tolima sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Llaneros's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Quindio 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Deportes Tolima's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Cucuta 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Llaneros and 1.2 for Deportes Tolima. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Value angle: Deportes Tolima to win at 2.50 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Llaneros 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Llaneros34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Deportes Tolima42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
2.20Expected goals
1.01Llaneros xG
1.19Deportes Tolima xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.0 – 1.2 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
42%
2.36
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Llaneros – last 6
DLLWDW
2 Sep
@ Quindio
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–0
W
19 Aug
@ Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Fortaleza FC
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WLDLWL
1 Sep
vs Cucuta
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Bucaramanga
0–0
D
19 Aug
vs Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Internacional de Bogota
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Independiente Medellin
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportes Tolima 42%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
