Value bet: Junior to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJunior to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65
Chico vs Junior preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Chico take on Junior on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 02:05 (WAT) at Estadio La Independencia. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Junior sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chico's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Bucaramanga 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Junior's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Águilas Doradas 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Chico and 1.4 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chico 34%, draw 22%, Junior 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Junior to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chico 1–1 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico34%fair 2.98 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Junior44%fair 2.27 · @2.62
2.62Expected goals
1.20Chico xG
1.42Junior xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chico 1.2 – 1.4 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✗
44%
2.27
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Chico – last 6
WLLLDW
24 Oct
vs Bucaramanga
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
12 Oct
vs Cucuta
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
WDDDLL
24 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
1–0
W
19 Oct
@ Deportivo Cali
0–0
D
14 Oct
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
5 Oct
@ Bucaramanga
1–3
L
1 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Junior.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chico vs Junior?
On our numbers Chico have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Junior 44%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Junior?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Junior?
Chico vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
