Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Atletico Nacional take on Santa Fe on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Santa Fe's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Bucaramanga 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Santa Fe 1–2 Atletico Nacional.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Atletico Nacional and 0.8 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 67%, draw 17%, Santa Fe 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @4.33
Santa Fe16%fair 6.43 · @5.50
2.71Expected goals
1.95Atletico Nacional xG
0.76Santa Fe xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.0 – 0.8 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Santa Fe 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
