Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Santa Fe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.00
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe travel to Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas in the Primera A on Tuesday 29 September (21:30 WAT) to face Deportivo Pereira. Deportivo Pereira are 17th with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Pereira's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Internacional de Bogota 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Santa Fe's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Union Magdalena 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.8 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Pereira 11%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 64%.
Safer route: Santa Fe or draw (89%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Fe or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pereira11%fair 8.84 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Santa Fe64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
2.46Expected goals
0.65Deportivo Pereira xG
1.81Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 0.6 – 1.8 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.00
–
Form
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
DDLLDL
26 Sep
vs Internacional de Bogota
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Bucaramanga
1–3
L
10 Sep
@ America de Cali
1–4
L
7 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
DLWLWD
26 Sep
@ Union Magdalena
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Alianza Valledupar
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Deportes Tolima
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Santa Fe or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 64%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
