Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChico to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceChico or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Chico vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Valledupar travel to Estadio La Independencia in the Primera A on Wednesday 16 September (01:30 WAT) to face Chico. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chico's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Junior 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Chico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Chico and 0.7 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chico or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chico 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.10
Alianza Valledupar17%fair 5.92 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.66Chico xG
0.74Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chico 1.7 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✗
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Chico or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
Chico – last 6
WWDDLL
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Once Caldas
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Fortaleza FC
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
WLLLLD
13 Sep
vs Junior
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
3 Sep
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Chico or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Chico have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza Valledupar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Chico vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
