Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓64% · @1.40
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Atletico Nacional vs Junior preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Atletico Nacional take on Junior on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Junior sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Chapecoense-sc 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Junior's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 June 2026, finished Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior. Across their last 3 meetings Atletico Nacional have won 2, Junior 1, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Atletico Nacional and 0.8 for Junior. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 20%, Junior 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional64%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
Junior16%fair 6.30 · @6.50
2.81Expected goals
1.97Atletico Nacional xG
0.84Junior xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.0 – 0.8 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Junior 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Atletico Nacional vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
