Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Chico vs Atletico Nacional preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Nacional travel to Estadio La Independencia in the Primera A on Saturday 17 October (21:00 WAT) to face Chico. Chico are 15th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chico's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Cucuta 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atletico Nacional's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Chico and 1.9 for Atletico Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chico 15%, draw 22%, Atletico Nacional 63%.
Safer route: Atletico Nacional or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Chico 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chico15%fair 6.65 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
Atletico Nacional63%fair 1.60 · @1.57
2.64Expected goals
0.78Chico xG
1.86Atletico Nacional xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chico 0.8 – 1.9 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Chico – last 6
LDWLLW
12 Oct
vs Cucuta
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WDWDDL
15 Oct
vs Independiente Medellin
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
1 Oct
vs Junior
3–1
W
26 Sep
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
21 Sep
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Atletico Nacional.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Chico have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Nacional 63%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Chico 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Chico vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
