Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInd. Yumbo to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceInd. Yumbo or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.67
Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan preview and prediction
The match
Ind. Yumbo host Popayan in the Primera B on Tuesday 20 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda. Ind. Yumbo are 4th with 2 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Popayan sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ind. Yumbo's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Union Magdalena 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Popayan's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Depor FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Popayan 0–0 Ind. Yumbo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Ind. Yumbo and 0.6 for Popayan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Ind. Yumbo to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ind. Yumbo or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ind. Yumbo 1–0 Popayan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ind. Yumbo60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Popayan16%fair 6.30 · @4.00
2.16Expected goals
1.53Ind. Yumbo xG
0.63Popayan xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ind. Yumbo 1.5 – 0.6 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ind. Yumbo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
On our numbers Ind. Yumbo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Popayan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Ind. Yumbo 1–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan?
Ind. Yumbo vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
