Real Santander vs Union Magdalena prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Union Magdalena to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Real Santander vs Union Magdalena preview and prediction
The match
Real Santander host Union Magdalena in the Primera B on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Villa Concha. Real Santander are 9th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Union Magdalena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Santander's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Tigres FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Magdalena's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Real Cartagena 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 March 2026, finished Union Magdalena 2–0 Real Santander.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Real Santander and 1.6 for Union Magdalena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Santander 20%, draw 20%, Union Magdalena 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Magdalena to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Santander 0–1 Union Magdalena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Santander20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.25
Union Magdalena60%fair 1.65 · @1.91
2.35Expected goals
0.75Real Santander xG
1.60Union Magdalena xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Real Santander 0.7 – 1.6 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Magdalena 60%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Real Santander vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
