Value bet: Quindio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuindio to win ✓37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.69
Orsomarso vs Quindio preview and prediction
The match
Quindio travel to Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata in the Primera B on Tuesday 6 October (01:30 WAT) to face Orsomarso. Orsomarso are 13th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Quindio sit 1st on 6 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Orsomarso's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Envigado 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Quindio's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Bogota FC 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Quindio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Quindio 2–2 Orsomarso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Orsomarso and 0.9 for Quindio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Quindio to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Orsomarso 0–0 Quindio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orsomarso37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Quindio37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
1.79Expected goals
0.89Orsomarso xG
0.90Quindio xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 0.9 – 0.9 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Quindio?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Quindio 37%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Quindio?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 0–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Quindio?
Orsomarso vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
