Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Internacional Palmira or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional Palmira to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional Palmira to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceInternacional Palmira or draw ✓84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.66
Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Internacional Palmira take on Leones FC on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Francisco Rivera Escobar. Internacional Palmira are 14th with 16 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Leones FC sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Internacional Palmira's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Ind. Yumbo 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Leones FC's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Popayan 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Internacional Palmira arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Leones FC 1–2 Internacional Palmira.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Internacional Palmira and 0.7 for Leones FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional Palmira 58%, draw 25%, Leones FC 16%.
Safer route: Internacional Palmira or draw (84%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Internacional Palmira to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Internacional Palmira or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Internacional Palmira 1–0 Leones FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional Palmira58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
Leones FC16%fair 6.14 · @4.00
2.39Expected goals
1.65Internacional Palmira xG
0.75Leones FC xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Internacional Palmira 1.6 – 0.7 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional Palmira to win✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Internacional Palmira or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional Palmira / FT Internacional Palmira✓
What is the prediction for Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Internacional Palmira or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Internacional Palmira have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Internacional Palmira 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Rivera Escobar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
