Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla preview and prediction
The match
Barranquilla travel to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in the Primera B on Monday 21 September (21:30 WAT) to face Bogota FC. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Barranquilla sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Tigres FC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Barranquilla's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Ind. Yumbo 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Barranquilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Bogota FC 1–1 Barranquilla. Across their last 2 meetings Bogota FC have won 0, Barranquilla 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Bogota FC and 0.6 for Barranquilla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 64%, draw 20%, Barranquilla 15%.
Safer route: Bogota FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bogota FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.10
Barranquilla15%fair 6.49 · @3.90
2.19Expected goals
1.61Bogota FC xG
0.58Barranquilla xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.6 – 0.6 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Our pick is Bogota FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barranquilla 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
