Value bet: Leones FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones FC to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceLeones FC or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Leones FC vs Depor FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Leones FC take on Depor FC on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Depor FC sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Leones FC's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Ind. Yumbo 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Depor FC's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Bogota FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Depor FC 0–0 Leones FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Leones FC and 0.8 for Depor FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones FC 60%, draw 22%, Depor FC 18%.
Safer route: Leones FC or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Leones FC to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–0 Depor FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.35
Depor FC18%fair 5.64 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.66Leones FC xG
0.75Depor FC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.7 – 0.8 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones FC vs Depor FC?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Depor FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Depor FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Depor FC?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Depor FC?
Leones FC vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
